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Article title
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Abstract
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Keywords
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Introduction
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Aim
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Materials and methods
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Incidence data collection
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Statistical analysis
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ARIMA model
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Preliminary test procedures
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Motivation ground
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Time series stationarity check
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Stochastic modelling
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Model diagnostics
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One-step in-sample forecast
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Extended out-of-sample forecast
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Discussion
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Conclusions
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References
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